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Kelly Criterion Calculator

Kelly Criterion

Recommended Stake

$100.00
10.00% of Bankroll

Optimize Growth with the Kelly Criterion

The mathematical formula used by Warren Buffett and pro gamblers to determine the perfect bet size.

Why Use It?

Kelly eliminates the guesswork. If you bet too little, your bankroll grows too slowly. If you bet too much, you risk ruin. Kelly finds the exact sweet spot for exponential growth.

Fractional Kelly

Full Kelly can be volatile. Most professionals use Half Kelly (0.5) or Quarter Kelly (0.25). This reduces variance while still offering great growth potential.

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How It Works

The formula considers your edge and the odds to tell you exactly how much to wager.

f* = (bp - q) / b

f* = Fraction of bankroll to bet
b = Decimal odds - 1
p = Probability of winning
q = Probability of losing (1 - p)

Frequently Asked Questions